August 2023 Newsletter: Call For Advisees & Collaborators

by | 14 August 2023

Dear friends,

GCRI’s 2023 Advising and Collaboration Program is now open. We welcome anyone who is interested in getting more involved in global catastrophic risk, or advancing your career in it. We also welcome those who would simply like to connect or reconnect. This year, we are emphasizing five themes: diversity and inclusion; AI governance; AI politics; public scholarship; and students and early-career professionals. Your interests do not need to fit within one or more these themes to participate, but it helps if they do. Please see the full announcement on our website for further information and how to apply. We hope to hear from you.

Additionally, in January, Deputy Director McKenna Fitzgerald left the GCRI team. McKenna initially joined GCRI in 2020 as Project Manager and Research Assistant; she was promoted to the position of Deputy Director in 2021. She was a tremendous contributor to all aspects of the organization, including research, operations, and planning. We wish her the best in her future endeavors.

Sincerely,
Seth Baum
Executive Director

Public Health and Nuclear Winter

A new paper Public health and nuclear winter: Addressing a catastrophic threat has been published in the Journal of Public Health Policy. The paper is co-authored by Andreas Vilhelmsson, a Researcher in Occupational and Environmental Medicine at Lund University and a 2022 GCRI Fellow, and GCRI Executive Director Seth Baum.

GCRI Statements

The GCRI Statement on Race and Intelligence, published in January 2023, addresses the harmful and scientifically dubious idea of a genetic basis of racial differences in intelligence, prompted by problematic comments on the topic made by global catastrophic risk researcher Nick Bostrom.

The GCRI Statement on the Demographic Diversity of the GCRI Team, January 2023 acknowledges and expresses displeasure about the fact that, following the departures of McKenna Fitzgerald and Andrea Owe, the GCRI team lacks demographic diversity. GCRI is committed to advancing demographic diversity within our own team and the broader field of global catastrophic risk.

Urban Design and Climate Change

Two popular media articles by Executive Director Seth Baum call for urban design changes that would help reduce greenhouse gas emissions while providing other benefits. Both are focused on the New York City metropolitan area, where Baum lives. New York’s housing plans must address affordability—& climate change was published in City Limits. Even with electric vehicles, an expanded turnpike extension would be bad for the environment was published in The Jersey Journal.

Author

Recent Publications

Climate Change, Uncertainty, and Global Catastrophic Risk

Climate Change, Uncertainty, and Global Catastrophic Risk

Is climate change a global catastrophic risk? This paper, published in the journal Futures, addresses the question by examining the definition of global catastrophic risk and by comparing climate change to another severe global risk, nuclear winter. The paper concludes that yes, climate change is a global catastrophic risk, and potentially a significant one.

Assessing the Risk of Takeover Catastrophe from Large Language Models

Assessing the Risk of Takeover Catastrophe from Large Language Models

For over 50 years, experts have worried about the risk of AI taking over the world and killing everyone. The concern had always been about hypothetical future AI systems—until recent LLMs emerged. This paper, published in the journal Risk Analysis, assesses how close LLMs are to having the capabilities needed to cause takeover catastrophe.

On the Intrinsic Value of Diversity

On the Intrinsic Value of Diversity

Diversity is a major ethics concept, but it is remarkably understudied. This paper, published in the journal Inquiry, presents a foundational study of the ethics of diversity. It adapts ideas about biodiversity and sociodiversity to the overall category of diversity. It also presents three new thought experiments, with implications for AI ethics.

Climate Change, Uncertainty, and Global Catastrophic Risk

Climate Change, Uncertainty, and Global Catastrophic Risk

Is climate change a global catastrophic risk? This paper, published in the journal Futures, addresses the question by examining the definition of global catastrophic risk and by comparing climate change to another severe global risk, nuclear winter. The paper concludes that yes, climate change is a global catastrophic risk, and potentially a significant one.

Assessing the Risk of Takeover Catastrophe from Large Language Models

Assessing the Risk of Takeover Catastrophe from Large Language Models

For over 50 years, experts have worried about the risk of AI taking over the world and killing everyone. The concern had always been about hypothetical future AI systems—until recent LLMs emerged. This paper, published in the journal Risk Analysis, assesses how close LLMs are to having the capabilities needed to cause takeover catastrophe.

On the Intrinsic Value of Diversity

On the Intrinsic Value of Diversity

Diversity is a major ethics concept, but it is remarkably understudied. This paper, published in the journal Inquiry, presents a foundational study of the ethics of diversity. It adapts ideas about biodiversity and sociodiversity to the overall category of diversity. It also presents three new thought experiments, with implications for AI ethics.