Download PDF Preprint Is climate change a global catastrophic risk? Warming temperatures are already causing a variety harms around the world, some quite severe, and they project to worsen as temperatures increase. However, despite the massive body of research on...
Download PDF Preprint Recent large language models (LLMs) have shown some impressive capabilities, but this has raised concerns about their potential to cause harm. Once concern is that LLMs could take over the world and cause catastrophic harm, potentially even...
Download PDF Preprint Diversity is an important ethical concept. It’s also relevant to global catastrophic risk in at least two ways: the risk of catastrophic biodiversity loss and the need for diversity among people working on global catastrophic risk. It’s...
Download Preprint PDF Vote suppression, disinformation, sham elections that give authoritarians the veneer of democracy, and even genocide: all of these are means of manipulating the outcomes of elections. (Shown above: a ballot from the sham 1938 referendum for the...
Download the Main Report PDF • Download the Methodological and Analytical Annex PDF Exactly how the COVID-19 pandemic began remains a topic of considerable scientific and political debate. However, the opinions expressed in the debate have thus far come from an ad hoc...